US President Donald Trump kicked off his 2020 reelection campaign in Florida on Tuesday, formally announcing his reelection bid and seeking his second term in the White House. This will bring the election factor further into US politics and lead to a series of subtle influences.
The latest opinion polls are not favorable for Trump. Complaints about the trade war are increasing among Americans. Will the situation have any connection to Washington's future trade policy toward China?
This is not what Chinese society should worry about. The Chinese people are interested in who will become the next US president, but few of them are naïve enough to believe the election result will have a decisive impact on the US-launched trade war with China.
Some elites in the US who were against Trump previously are now supporting the trade war. They no longer accept normal competition among major powers under the rules of globalization, but hope to forcefully promote a unilateral route beneficial to the US through their country's superior strength.
Many US elites' understanding of US technology and market resources is narrowing. The country has lost its open-mindedness to a large extent and is stuck on targeting short-term interests. The current administration's actions have somehow mobilized the US elites and turned such narrow-mindedness into policy.
It would already be unimaginable if the two parties' candidates play fewer China cards and stop misleading the American people's understanding of China. Most Chinese people do not expect that an election can be a fundamental turning point for China-US relations.
Chinese people must do our own business well. This will help us remain steady and orderly even as the external environment continues to worsen.
This is also China's warning to the outside world: Do not imagine you can use maximum pressure to defeat China. After more than a year of the trade war, the Chinese people have psychologically prepared themselves to know that some problems just cannot be resolved.
Some US people are always guessing who China prefers as the next US president. During the last
US election, even Chinese people themselves couldn't figure out who would benefit China. Chinese society is more like a third-party audience. It is Washington's unrequited thinking to guess who Beijing prefers.
In the past few years around the world, it has been proved that even though some so-called pro-China people were elected heads of state, few of them have been able to make a decisive change in their countries' attitudes toward China. Other countries' stances toward China depend on their national interests and their own political logic.
China-US relations are currently in a deep stalemate and the US understanding of China is seriously distorted. Such a situation cannot be changed by any specific American individual but the performance of the US economy will be more convincing.
Apparently more US enterprises are stepping forward to oppose the $300 billion in fresh levies the Trump administration imposed on China exports, while the public also increasingly criticizes the decision.
A trade war is irrational and without winners. No matter who is US president, the US economy will see this principle.
What China should do is to take all measures to stabilize its own economy, release more potential to promote development and wait for the US to return from being extreme to a relatively normal state.