No matter who the Philippines’ president is, it’s impossible for the country to totally abandon US defensive support. But one-sided attachment with the US will only hurt the country in the long-run.
The Arbitral Tribunal has adopted a double standard in interpreting the UNCLOS.
If the South China Sea eventually becomes the main stage for strategic rivalries between China and the US, it will benefit China more. The whole of Chinese society will be more resolute and it means China would have the chance to solve its peripheral and strategic problems at the same time. But the US, whose acts are prompted by greed, will view the South China Sea as its burden sooner or later.
China’s position is to safeguard its sovereignty and maritime rights and interests, as well as to preserve the integrity, authority and solemnity of the UNCLOS.
With his “big mouth,” Duterte is seen by many as the “Donald Trump of the Philippines.” His victory reflects Philippine citizens’ strong dissatisfaction with Aquino’s rule.
Many believe that whoever assumes office will adjust the nations’ unscrupulous policy toward China.
If they make a big fuss of the verdict and force China to accept it, the South China Sea will enter into a new period of instability.
The US government, which bought the Philippines from Spain for $20 million, did not bring an end to anti-Chinese practices.
In fact, Beijing has many advantages in its overall relationship with Manila.
Even if the Taiwan authorities want to win recognition from the international community, they should never choose a time when external forces are provoking Chinese sovereignty.
The US would prefer that the dispute had been averted, but now that it has developed, the US wants to see it managed peacefully.
The US still needs to prevent a strategic rivalry from spiraling into confrontation with China and maintain a healthy bilateral relationship.
During this period of time, the Philippine government has been encouraging the local media to hype up the unfriendly mood toward China.
Manila will only seek negotiation or shelve disputes after suffering great losses and grave lessons. Otherwise, talk will not lead to anything even if there is one in place.
The benefits of publishing a white paper on Huangyan Island are multifold. We can make clear and persuasive explanations to the world about the indisputable fact that Huangyan Island belongs to China and our intentions to solve this issue peacefully.
The standoff between China and the Philippines over Huangyan Island continues, with Manila recently declaring that Panatag Shoal is its preferred name for the island, while encouraging its fishermen to fish there.
The Philippines is obviously the loser of the dispute over Huangyan Island. Both sides want to tone it down for a while.
What can we predict from the naval standoff between China and the Philippines near Huangyan Island in the South China Sea? The answer depends on the next action China is going to take.